Fig. 3

Temperature and precipitation anomalies for 29 different climate models (represented by alphanumeric characters) under RCP8.5 averaged for 2040–2069 (i.e. mid-century) conditions. Colors represent “quadrants” that break the distribution of climate changes into cool/wet (green), hot/wet (yellow), cool/dry (blue), and hot/dry (red) conditions relative to the model distribution mean (black dot). The “middle” area is defined by ± one standard deviation of change on each axis. Models close to this median value were circled in purple for the crop model simulations